Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 3.777525 4.054333 4.349587 4.689325 5.071184 5.489153 5.984028
2025-04-20 3.289207 3.671766 4.105683 4.639806 5.287407 6.057713 7.059842
2025-04-27 3.062296 3.514245 4.049950 4.743355 5.635154 6.770537 8.373188
2025-05-04 2.896583 3.396113 4.009101 4.835561 5.952447 7.461484 9.757647
2025-05-11 2.722875 3.244947 3.902924 4.819011 6.107746 7.938033 10.912805
2025-05-18 2.566780 3.099793 3.786440 4.768517 6.198449 8.320668 11.985276
2025-05-25 2.405854 2.935046 3.628360 4.641040 6.156501 8.487987 12.725599
2025-06-01 2.279928 2.807500 3.509572 4.555485 6.162172 8.722255 13.621939
2025-06-08 2.199862 2.735851 3.461113 4.564885 6.309956 9.202521 15.081952
2025-06-15 2.145530 2.695278 3.451965 4.629369 6.548368 9.868390 17.090969
2025-06-22 2.031987 2.566220 3.308229 4.476579 6.412565 9.842449 17.600275
2025-06-29 1.940051 2.463236 3.196571 4.365300 6.335138 9.912596 18.348643
2025-07-06 1.857285 2.372635 3.102621 4.282446 6.311079 10.105936 19.524646
2025-07-13 1.790674 2.302733 3.036386 4.240500 6.357291 10.451872 21.242362
2025-07-20 1.763392 2.287984 3.051315 4.330829 6.650745 11.358117 24.927689
2025-07-27 1.735459 2.270493 3.060364 4.411061 6.934119 12.302726 29.307988
2025-08-03 1.687436 2.220775 3.016360 4.396671 7.032295 12.845398 32.693629
2025-08-10 1.636139 2.163905 2.958037 4.352742 7.066226 13.241093 35.814759
2025-08-17 1.573477 2.087500 2.865203 4.241692 6.952124 13.246988 37.345081
2025-08-24 1.522369 2.026915 2.795112 4.167043 6.906677 13.424558 39.820988
2025-08-31 1.491617 1.996305 2.771828 4.175250 7.036787 14.097444 45.354063
2025-09-07 1.472277 1.982421 2.774861 4.231515 7.276948 15.136552 54.241603
2025-09-14 1.416758 1.910456 2.679352 4.098109 7.082585 14.871597 54.824740